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Another US strike on Venezuela on...?

Another US strike on Venezuela on...?

10 Markets
846 Traders
52 Comments
Vol (24h)$1.6M
Total Vol$3.4M
Liquidity$1.8M
Spread0.1¢
ActiveCheck on UMA Oracle
January 9

January 9$1,194,068 Vol.Liquidity: $209,463

January 7

January 7$548,383 Vol.Liquidity: $231,325

January 4

January 4$345,751 Vol.Liquidity: $49,512

January 3

January 3$260,471 Vol.Liquidity: $181,468

January 6

January 6$216,811 Vol.Liquidity: $153,053

Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil on the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. Statements within this time period from Trump claiming a qualifying strike will qualify, regardless of whether officially confirmed by the U.S. government.
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