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US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

11 Markets
3992 Traders
483 Comments
Vol (24h)$4.1M
Total Vol$19.8M
Liquidity$2.2M
Spread0.1¢
ActiveCheck on UMA Oracle
February 28

February 28$5,852,937 Vol.Liquidity: $273,919

March 31

March 31$1,515,285 Vol.Liquidity: $283,135

December 31

December 31$582,841 Vol.Liquidity: $233,174

June 30

June 30$751,740 Vol.Liquidity: $262,937

January 31

January 31$6,455,218 Vol.Liquidity: $139,310

Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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